Severe storm threat in a 'potent environment' in southern Manitoba, NW Ont.
The thunderstorm potential will reappear in Manitoba and northwestern Ontario on Thursday, with a tornado chance present alongside damaging wind gusts and large hail
After a stormy Wednesday across southern Alberta and Saskatchewan, where tornado watches and warnings were issued, the risk of severe weather moves eastward Thursday.
Manitoba and northwestern Ontario are next in line, with conditions expected to support significant thunderstorm development as energy builds throughout the afternoon.
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Severe storms may bring damaging winds of 90-110 km/h and large hail ranging from 2-4 cm in size—comparable to loonie to golf ball-sized hail. There is also the potential for one or two tornadoes, however, there is uncertainty in the risk because of a cap in the environment that may inhibit that.
It'll be important to remain weather-aware, and stay up-to-date on all of the latest watches and warnings as conditions change.
Thursday: High thunderstorm energy over southern Manitoba and northwestern Ontario
A large low pressure system is tracking eastward, creating a setup for thunderstorms in southern Manitoba and northwestern Ontario Thursday afternoon.
High thunderstorm energy is forecast to build through the day, with a strengthening cold front expected to trigger potentially severe storms by late afternoon and evening.
Storm development may stay east of Winnipeg, possibly leaving the city dry, while areas near the Manitoba–northwestern Ontario border will see the highest storm potential.
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Severe thunderstorms may bring damaging winds of 90-110 km/h and hail between 2-4 cm in size, equivalent to loonie to golf ball-sized hail.
While tornado potential remains uncertain, there is a slight risk of one or two tornadoes developing.
Some limiting factors include a possible cap in the environment and storm timing beyond 8 p.m. ET, which could reduce the overall severe weather risk.
Stay alert for updated forecasts and any weather warnings.
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Heading into the weekend, temperatures across the Prairies will be variable. Northern regions are expected to remain cooler than normal, while southern areas will experience warmer-than-normal conditions, with periods of warmth pushing in from south of the U.S. border. Looking ahead to next week, warmer-than-average temperatures are anticipated to prevail across much of the region.
Be sure to check back for the latest updates across the Prairies