'Too soon to let down our guard:' Atlantic hurricane season likely to pick up
The peak of hurricane season has arrived, and although activity has slowed, residents are encouraged to remain alert and closely monitor forecasts as the season continues.
The Maritime Museum of the Atlantic's popular Hurricane Havoc display updates daily when hurricanes are active, offering cruise ship passengers a visual of storm paths.
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However, so far this season, storms have largely remained out to sea, aligning with forecasts predicting a near-normal or slightly more active season.
Photo showing the hurricane board at the Maritime Museum of the Atlantic in Halifax, NS | Nathan Coleman
Dr. Doug Gillham, meteorologist at The Weather Network, anticipates increased activity in the tropical Atlantic late this month and into October.
"We do expect the tropics to become more active," he notes, though not to last year's levels. But will Atlantic Canada see direct impacts? "It's too early to tell, but it's definitely too soon to let down our guard," he cautions.
Global weather patterns suggest an "upward motion pulse" over the Atlantic Basin—a condition that enhances the likelihood of tropical storm development when atmospheric triggers are present.
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Gillham expects some storms to head north, but their paths—either staying out to sea or advancing toward Atlantic Canada—remain uncertain.
Meanwhile, the Gulf of Mexico's record-breaking sea surface temperatures, undisturbed so far, amplify the risks of rapid storm intensification if one forms.
Residents are urged to stay vigilant and keep monitoring forecasts as the hurricane season progresses.